Who wil the Pistons draft?: Second-round picks

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Previous:

  1. Availability (first round)
  2. Position
  3. Production
  4. Eligibility
  5. Locality
  6. Wingspan

Here’s a look at where the second-rounders left on the board are projected to be picked:

Name.NetDXMyYSAvg.Avail. 35Avail. 39Avail. 44
Toney Douglass2939343935.350%50%0%
Danny Green4542424443.3100%100%75%
Dajuan Summers2635253530.350%0%0%
Derrick Brown214440313450%50%50%
Josh Heytvelt2837434538.375%50%25%
Taj Gibson303630403450%25%0%
Jeff Adrien41444643.7100%100%75%
Jermaine Taylor3834463738.875%25%25%
Jerel McNeal4350565250.3100%100%75%
Dionte Christmas3249474242.575%75%50%

Key:

  • .net: NBADraft.net
  • DX: DraftExpress
  • My: My NBA Draft
  • YS: Yahoo! Sports (second round)
  • Avg.: Average pick the mocks have that player chosen
  • Avail. 35: Percentage of mocks that have the player available at the 35th pick
  • Avail. 39: Percentage of mocks that have the player available at the 39th pick
  • Avail. 4: Percentage of mocks that have the player available at the 44th pick

Half of the six first-round-only mocks I used in projecting the availability of first round picks have Summers, Brown and Gibson going in the first round. And two have Douglass taken in the first round, too.

I don’t think any of the four will be available at 35. So, that leaves the board like this:

Point guard

NameSchoolHeightWingspanProjected
Jrue HolidayUCLA6’ 3.25”6’ 7”13
Jeff TeagueWake Forest6’ 0.25”6’ 7.5”20
Toney DouglassFlorida State6’ 1”6’ 6”36
Rodrigue BeauboisFrance6’ 1.25”6’ 9.75”39
Greivis VasquezMaryland6’ 4.75”6’ 7.25”56

Shooting guard

NameSchoolHeightWingspanProjected
Gerald HendersonDuke6’ 4”6’ 10.25”12
Terrence WilliamsLouisville6’ 5”6’ 9”16
Jermaine TaylorCentral Florida6’ 3.5”6’ 8.75”32
Jerel McNealMarquette6’ 1.5”6’ 7.25”46
Dionte ChristmasTemple6’ 4.25”6’ 9”59

Small forward

NameSchoolHeightWingspanProjected
Austin DayeGonzaga6’ 9.75”7’ 2.75”15
James JohnsonWake Forest6’ 7”7’ 0.75”18
Sam YoungPittsburgh6’ 5.25”6’ 10.75”25
Danny GreenNorth Carolina6’ 5.25”6’ 10”35
Damion JamesTexas6’ 6.25”7’ 0.25”42
Joe InglesAustralia6’ 7.75”6’ 10.25”52
Tyler SmithTennessee6’ 5.25”6’ 9.75”No

Power forward

NameSchoolHeightWingspanProjected
Dejuan BlairPittsburgh6’ 5.25”7’ 2”11
Earl ClarkLouisville6’ 8.5”7’ 2.5”14
Gani LawalGeorgia Tech6’ 7.75”7’ 0”23
DaJuan SummersGeorgetown6’ 7.25”7’ 0.75”31
Derrick BrownXavier6’ 7.5”7’ 2.5”41
Josh HeytveltGonzaga6’ 10”7’ 1.25”50
Taj GibsonUSC6’ 8.5”7’ 4”53
Jeff AdrienConnecticut6’ 5.25”7’ 2”No

There are five second-round targets remaining:

  • Jermaine Taylor
  • Jerel McNeal
  • Dionte Christmas
  • Danny Green
  • Josh Heytvelt
  • Jeff Adrien

Dumars has made three picks in the top half of the second-round – and he used them both on players who could play right away, regardless of their upside.

The first was Brian Cardinal, a scrappy, yet relatively unathletic, forward from Purdue. The second was Mehmet Okur, who had played professionally in Turkey and had a pretty polished offensive game.

After Detroit went 32-50 in 2000-01 (and in all odds, set to get another high pick the next year), Dumars traded his next second-rounder for Zeljko Rebraca. Rebraca became a 33-year-old rookie who was ready to compete right away – further proving Dumars looks to get safe players in the top half of the second round.

The exception is Walter Sharpe, who was picked 32nd last year based on his potential. But it appeared many of his problems could be attributed to his narcolepsy. It’s different taking a chance on a player when you have a clear solution to his problems – unlike most projects.

The Pistons would like to use two second-round picks on players who will play in Europe, according to Chris McCosky of the Detroit News. But that article was written before Amir Johnson was traded. With another open roster spot, a second cheap player this year would probably come in handy. So, I’m going only project one pick to Europe.

Danny Green and Dionte Christmas are both good players with limited upside and seem like they’ll be around for the first two picks. Jerel McNeal, based on this Southtown Star article, seems like the type who would be willing to go Europe.

"Then, the Marquette junior declared for the draft but pulled out after he was named an alternate rather than rating an invitation to the NBA’s draft camp.“It could have changed in the next day or so, and guys might have dropped out and I could have told I was going to be in,” McNeal told the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel at the time. “I’ve got one year left and an opportunity to do some great things (at Marquette) that are going to be very important to me down the line. I think staying here and being here for another year is much more important than actually going through that whole process, trying to squeeze out a spot when people may not necessarily want you.”"

Those three are my picks.

Second-round projections:

35: Dionte Christmas

39: Danny Green

44: Jerel McNeal