Playing for John Calipari increases chance Brandon Knight could out-perform expectations

Kevin Pelton of Basketball Prospectus, writing for ESPN Insider, posted some projections for this year’s rookie class based on age/history comparisons to similar players. Here was his take on Brandon Knight:

Brandon Knight: 24.0 mpg, 8.0 ppg, 2.7 apg, 2.2 rpg

Knight gets plugged into the combo guard role played by Tracy McGrady for the Pistons a year ago. As compared to his predecessors at the point for John Calipari (Rose, Wall and Tyreke Evans), Knight is not nearly as ready to contribute immediately — especially as a passer. The upside is that all of those players significantly outperformed their rookie-year projections because the NBA’s rules regarding contact on the perimeter made them dangerous off the dribble.

Honestly, I would live with that stat line from Knight as a rookie. Long-term, I obviously hope Knight develops into an impact player. But he only played one season of college basketball and he, like all rookies, may not get much of a training camp depending on how long the lockout drags on. If the Pistons re-sign Rodney Stuckey and Knight is simply asked to be a contributor, not an immediate starter and impact player, I think he’ll do just fine this season.

Hat-tip to commenter RandomGuy313 for the link.