Wilcox is a tricky acquisition. Last year was the best season of his career (7.4/4.8 in 17.5 mpg and an 18 PER), but it came at the age of 28 which makes him eligible for John Hollinger’s fluke rule. The fluke rule basically says any player 28 or older whose PER jumps by more than three points in a season and is above 14 will regress next season by the same amount.
He has great hands for catching the ball of cuts, scoring 1.23 PPP in those play types. As a roll man, he scores a decent 0.96 PPP. He’d be a decent running buddy for a game manager like Jennings.
As for his defense, Wilcox is below average to terrible. He allows an awful 1.07 PPP in post-ups and 1 PPP defending PNRs.
Hollinger’s fluke rule is particularly apt for Wilcox, because playing in a contract year could explain his boost in production. Bucks, beware.
Tags: Chris Wilcox