The Detroit Pistons were one of the best kept gambling secrets in the NBA last season.
Even though they only won 23 games, the Pistons had a streak of over 20 games where they covered the spread. It was pretty clear the sports books weren’t paying much attention to what was happening in Detroit, and we didn’t see the betting lines start to tighten up until late in the season, which was great for those of us who were betting Detroit to cover.
This gave great value to gamblers, who can gain an advantage by actually paying attention to the teams in the cellar.
This could be true again this season, as the books haven’t adjusted the Pistons’ over/under since the trade for Bojan Bogdanovic, which could give bettors an advantage if they get in soon.
While Bogdanovic might not make Detroit contenders, he should be good for a few more wins, which could make this bet a no-brainer.
Detroit Pistons win total over/under
According to WynnBet, the Detroit Pistons’ win total over/under for this season is 28.5 wins.
Earlier this offseason, I did a month-by-month wins prediction and tried to be as realistic as possible, as I prefer to look at the worst-case scenario when it comes to making season bets.
I did this before the trade for Bogdanovic and came out with exactly 28 wins for Detroit, which I think is a fair assessment.
Bogdanovic will give the Pistons more spacing on offense, as an efficient veteran shooter who has been one of the most reliable 3-point shooters in the NBA at his position. The Pistons have also added Alec Burks (though he will start the season injured), so their shooting should be much improved when you factor in internal improvement from the young guys.
Detroit has also gotten bigger with the additions of Nerlens Noel and Jalen Duren, so they have shored up their two biggest weaknesses this offseason.
That should be good for at least a couple of more wins, which should push them closer to 30-35 wins if everything goes well, even higher if things click even better than expected.
There are no guarantees when it comes to gambling on sports, as anything could happen between now and the end of the season, but taking the over on the Pistons is looking a lot tastier than it did a few weeks ago.